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AC

ACNB CORP (ACNB)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered diluted EPS of $0.77 and net income of $6.6M, up 61% YoY but down 8.5% QoQ on lower noninterest income and higher equipment/other expenses; total revenue (non-GAAP) was $26.94M, modestly below Q3’s $27.75M as NIM stabilized and loan yields edged higher .
  • Margin dynamics improved sequentially: FTE NIM rose to 3.81% (+4 bps QoQ) helped by recognition of nonaccrual interest, lower average short-term borrowings, lower promotional time-deposit rate, and seasonal low-cost deposits; QoQ cost of funds held at 1.19% .
  • Credit quality remained solid though NPLs rose to 0.40% of loans (from 0.39% in Q3) due to one healthcare relationship; annualized net charge-offs were 0.04% .
  • Strategically, management affirmed the Traditions Bancorp acquisition, expecting close Feb 1, 2025, and subsequently raised the regular quarterly dividend to $0.32 per share for Q1 2025; these are notable stock catalysts around integration and capital returns .
  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to access limits; estimate comparison is not provided and Street models may need to refine NIM/fee seasonality and merger-related expense assumptions [GetEstimates error].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Sequential NIM expansion: FTE NIM improved to 3.81% (+4 bps QoQ), supported by lower borrowings, time-deposit promo rate reduction, and seasonal deposit mix shifts; loan yield rose to 5.61% (+5 bps QoQ) .
    • Capital and book value strengthened: TCE/TA reached 10.72% and tangible book value per share was $29.51, reflecting continued capital resilience .
    • Strategic M&A progress and confident tone: “We currently expect the acquisition of Traditions Bancorp, Inc. to be effective February 1, 2025,” signaling near-term scale and market presence expansion in York/Lancaster counties .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Noninterest income fell 15.1% QoQ to $5.8M, driven by seasonal declines in insurance commissions (-$0.68M QoQ) and lower estate-related wealth income (-$0.18M QoQ) .
    • Noninterest expenses increased slightly QoQ to $18.4M, with equipment expense up $0.63M (core processing/software and $0.36M acquisition-related office equipment) and other expenses higher, partly offset by lower salaries/benefits; merger-related expense was $0.89M .
    • NPLs increased to 0.40% of loans, driven by a long-standing healthcare relationship; while charge-offs remained minimal, the uptick is a watch item for 2025 .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Diluted EPS ($)$0.48 $0.84 $0.77
Net Income ($MM)$4.10 $7.20 $6.60
Total Revenue (non-GAAP) ($MM)$26.92 $27.75 $26.94
Net Interest Income ($MM)$21.49 $20.94 $21.11
Noninterest Income ($MM)$0.97 $6.83 $5.80
FTE Net Interest Margin (%)3.93 3.77 3.81
Efficiency Ratio (%)62.48 60.56 63.83
ROAA (annualized, %)0.68 1.17 1.08
ROAE (annualized, %)6.09 9.63 8.57
Consensus EPS ($)N/AN/AN/A
Consensus Revenue ($MM)N/AN/AN/A

Segment/Line Item Breakdown (selected noninterest income):

Category ($MM)Q4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Insurance Commissions$1.95 $2.79 $2.11
Wealth Management$0.87 $1.19 $1.01
Service Charges on Deposits$1.01 $1.05 $1.08
ATM/Debit Card Charges$0.85 $0.83 $0.82
BOLI Income$0.48 $0.50 $0.51

Key KPIs:

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Loans ($MM)$1,628.0 $1,677.1 $1,682.9
Deposits ($MM)$1,861.8 $1,791.3 $1,792.5
Borrowings ($MM)$252.2 $293.1 $271.2
Yield on Total Loans (%)5.29 5.56 5.61
Cost of Funds (%)0.71 1.19 1.19
NPLs / Loans (%)0.26 0.39 0.40
Net Charge-offs / Avg Loans (annualized, %)0.02 0.01 0.04
TCE / TA (%)9.48 10.74 10.72
TBV per Share ($)$26.44 $29.90 $29.51

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Acquisition Close (Traditions Bancorp)Effective date“Expected Q1 2025” (Nov 12 regulatory approvals) Feb 1, 2025 expected Clarified timing (raised confidence)
Regular Quarterly DividendQ1 2025$0.30 in Q1 2024 $0.32 declared Jan 29, 2025 Raised (+6.7%)
Financial Metrics (Revenue, EPS, NIM, OpEx)FY/Q4None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: Q4 2024 earnings call transcript not available in the document set; themes below synthesize management’s quarterlies and press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Net Interest Margin trajectoryFirst linked-quarter NIM increase to 3.82%; driver included nonaccrual interest recognition and loan yield gains .NIM dipped to 3.77% amid deposit cost increases; excluding prior nonaccrual payoff, NIM was 3.79% .NIM improved to 3.81% on lower borrowings, time-deposit promo rate reduction, seasonal deposits; loan yield up to 5.61% .Stabilizing to slightly improving
Asset qualityReversal of provisions (credit/unfunded) due to updated CECL inputs; NPL down to 0.19% .NPL up to 0.39% on one healthcare relationship; provisions modest .NPL at 0.40%; provisions modest; charge-offs low .Stable but elevated NPL vs mid-year
Deposits & pricingDeposits ticked up QoQ for first time after 9-quarter declines; time deposits up; NB deposits down .NB deposits fell; time deposits up on promotion; deposit base mix shifting .Brokered time deposits of $24.1M issued (Oct); NB deposits down; time deposits +6.3% QoQ .Mix shifting toward time deposits
M&AAnnounced Traditions acquisition; strategic expansion in York/Lancaster .Continued positive tone on M&A; strongest capital posture .Expect close Feb 1, 2025; integration confidence .Near-term close; integration focus
Capital & TBVTCE/TA 9.84%; TBV/share $27.82 .TCE/TA 10.74%; TBV/share $29.90 .TCE/TA 10.72%; TBV/share $29.51 .Strong and consistent

Management Commentary

  • “We are excited to share a strong year of operating results… we were successfully able to announce the strategic acquisition of Traditions Bancorp, Inc.… We currently expect the acquisition… to be effective February 1, 2025.” — James P. Helt, President & CEO .
  • “As we turn our focus to 2025, we look forward to successfully integrating Traditions Bank’s customers and employees… confident that this acquisition will complement our current operations with profitable growth opportunities…” .
  • “We are once again pleased to share strong operating results for the third quarter of 2024… strategic acquisition of Traditions Bancorp, Inc. will create the largest community bank in Pennsylvania with assets less than $5 billion…” .
  • “We are pleased to announce strong results for the second quarter of 2024… net interest margin improved during the quarter… we remain cautiously optimistic…” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q4 2024 call transcript not available; no Q&A themes or clarifications can be cited from transcripts. Management’s press release commentary emphasized NIM drivers, deposit mix actions, and integration confidence for Traditions close .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable due to access limitations; no beat/miss determination can be made relative to Wall Street consensus [GetEstimates error].
  • Areas where estimates may adjust: fee seasonality (insurance commissions, estate-driven wealth income), modest merger-related expenses in Q4 ($0.89M), and incremental core processing/software costs; NIM stabilization and loan yields support 2025 outlook post-acquisition .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential margin improvement: FTE NIM rose to 3.81% with supportive drivers; watch for sustainability amid deposit cost dynamics and integration execution in early 2025 .
  • Fee income seasonality impacted Q4: insurance commissions and wealth management dipped QoQ; look for rebound in seasonally stronger periods and potential cross-sell uplift post-transaction .
  • Credit remains solid despite a single-relationship NPL uptick; charge-offs minimal and CECL inputs drove net reversals in 2024, supporting earnings quality .
  • Capital and TBV strong: TCE/TA ~10.7% and TBV/share $29.51 provide flexibility for integration and continued dividend support ($0.32 declared for Q1 2025) .
  • Traditions acquisition is a near-term catalyst: expected close Feb 1, 2025 with expanded presence in York/Lancaster and brokered deposit actions already offsetting municipal outflows; monitor cost synergies and core system integration .
  • Trading setup: with no Street estimates comparison available, focus on bank-specific KPIs (NIM trajectory, deposit mix, fee normalization) and integration milestones through Q1–Q2 2025 to gauge estimate revisions and multiple expansion potential .
  • Risk watch: deposit mix shifts toward time deposits, incremental equipment/software costs, and concentration in specific commercial relationships (healthcare) warrant ongoing monitoring .

Additional References for Trend Analysis

  • Q3 2024 8-K/press release: KPIs, NIM drivers, deposit trends, capital ratios .
  • Q2 2024 press release: NIM turning point, fee drivers, provisions reversal .